The seven agents

Seven independent lenses on one number.

Each agent runs against the same data with a different theory of how exchange rates work. We aggregate them by horizon-weighted mean. If they all agreed, we'd only need one — the disagreement is the signal.

Spot
₹96.53
May 7, 2026
12M consensus
₹96.61
[92.74, 100.81]
Range
0.00
agent min → max
Direction split
6 / 1
appreciate / depreciate

Macro Fundamentalist

REER, real rates, growth differentials.
12M
93.50
24M
92.00
36M
90.75

REER undervalued 5.6%, real rate diff +1.7%

weight 10%30d hit 73%read more →

BoP & Flow Analyst

Current + capital account flows, oil import bill, FPI debt and equity.
12M
91.75
24M
91.00
36M
90.75

Oil normalisation, FPI debt inflows expected

weight 11%30d hit 70%read more →

Policy Reaction Modeler

RBI revealed preference, intervention capacity, forward book overhang.
12M
96.50
24M
98.50
36M
101.00

RBI forward book overhang, intervention fatigue

weight 19%30d hit 83%read more →

Technical / Quant

Price action, derivatives positioning, mean-reversion levels.
12M
92.00
24M
95.25
36M
98.50

Mean reversion from +7.2% above 200WMA

weight 25%30d hit 77%read more →

Geopolitical / Structural

Regime risk, geopolitical scenarios, structural inflows.
12M
92.50
24M
90.50
36M
88.75

Iran ceasefire, Warsh dovish pivot, IPO inflows

weight 21%30d hit 67%read more →

Historical Analogist

Historical analog overlays, recovery patterns, regime comparisons.
12M
90.50
24M
88.25
36M
89.75

2020 COVID recovery analog (63/100 fit)

weight 7%30d hit 60%read more →

Contrarian / Red Team

Fat tails, crowded positioning, consensus inversions.
12M
89.75
24M
88.00
36M
86.25

Crowded short-INR, Warsh more dovish than priced

weight 7%30d hit 57%read more →